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Global Warming’s Impact on Weather Forecasting

  • The record warming of 2023-2024 has highlighted the severe effects of global warming, including heatwaves, cyclones, floods, and wildfires.
  • The world may have crossed the 1.5°C warming threshold, but the duration and impact of this crossing are still uncertain.
  • Despite improved meteorological forecasting, the intensity of warming surprised experts.
  • Events like the 2023 monsoon and El Niño-La Niña cycles defied predictions, making climate forecasting increasingly complex.
  • Volcanic eruptions (Hunga Tonga) and CO2 from wildfires may have contributed to the heightened warming.
  • Reliable hyperlocal early warning systems are a crucial focus for future advancements.
  • Climate projections rely on emission scenarios, population growth, and mitigation policies.
  • Short-term projections are more reliable, while long-term predictions remain uncertain.

Dig Deeper: Read about the latest IPCC report for implications of temperature rise above 1.5 degrees Celsius.

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